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By the end of the year most troops will be out of Afghanistan and longrunning missions in East Timor and the Solomons will have been long over, taking Australia back to an era when Australia’s only foreign adventures were small, worthy and not very risky peacekeeping operations of which most people had never heard.

That’s how it was in the 1980s and early 1990s, before Australian dispatched a battalion group to Somalia, the first of a series of increasingly higher profile missions which took us to East Timor, Afghanistan, the Solomons and Iraq.

Curiously, some of these ongoing peacekeeping operations long pre-date the flurry of defence activity over the last two decades and so the ADF will be returning to a sort of status quo.

Not counting the Solomons, Afghanistan and the Middle East (around 2,400 personnel), Australian troops are currently serving in Operation Mazurka in Egypt (25 troops), Operation Riverbank in Iraq (2), Operation Paladin in the Middle East (12) and Operation Aslan in South Sudan (19). Then there’s the Australian Federal Police mission in Cyprus (15 officers), which has been running since 1964.

With experienced and capable defence and police forces and a commitment to exercising middle power diplomacy, Australia could reasonably sign onto more such missions. In the meantime, greater attention will be paid to the mission we’ve got, and some aren’t nearly as benign as they might once have been.

That particularly applies to the two Middle East operations. Some troops involved in Paladin work on the Golan Heights, worryingly close to the Syrian civil war, with the prospect of exposure to chemical weapons. All are now equipped with CBW protective kit.

Then there’s Australia’s contribution to the Multinational Force and Observers (MFO), a non-UN peacekeeping mission established in 1981 to oversee the peace treaty which ended conflict between Israel and Egypt.

The Camp David Accords which produced this agreement envisaged a multinational force in the Sinai with agreed force limits. This was never going to be a UN force and so it fell on the US, which in due course pressed then PM Malcolm Fraser for a contribution. This wasn’t a certainty. Peter Londey’s excellent history of Aussie peacekeeping Other People’s Wars notes that the instinct was to help an ally but also not to annoy those Arab nations which purchased lots of our primary products. Londey said government dithering allowed the issue to heat up beyond all common sense. Polls showed 72 per cent community opposition. Finally in October 1981, apparently swayed by the assassination of Egyptian president Anwar Sadat, Fraser announced approval in principle. Not until March 1982 did the Australian contribution reach the Sinai, comprising eight Iroquois helicopters and about 110 personnel.

Australia had long been beaten into this mission by Fiji and Colombia which remain significant MFO contributors. The Australian contingent, along with the pair of NZ helicopters who were inevitable termed “Anzac Airlines” performed useful work.

Despite its initial objections, the new Labor government decided this mission wasn’t too bad but set a two-year time limit. It ended in April 1986, but not forever. With the new post-Cold War passion for peacekeeping, Australian troops returned to the Sinai in 1993 with a contingent of around two dozen. And that’s how it’s pretty much continued to this day.

So what’s changed? The answer is the Middle East, with unrest in Egypt spreading into the Sinai with the rise of militant islamist groups.

“It would be no exaggeration to say the MFO faced operational challenges this past year that it had not encountered in its previous 30 years of existence,” said MFO Director General, US diplomat David Satterfield the MFO 2012 annual report.

In September, dozens of gunman, described as Bedouin jihadists possibly affiliated with al-Qaeda, broke through the security fence into MFO’s North Camp in the northern Sinai, one of many violent anti-western protests across the Middle East prompted by the release of the trailer for the anti-Islam film Innocence of Muslims.

Eight MFO personnel were wounded, none seriously. Attackers blew up a guard tower, torched a firetruck and generally caused extensive damage. Australians were certainly on the base at that time but none were hurt. Defence said they were not endangered and the incident was appropriately handled by MFO security forces before the arrival of Egyptian security forces.

The government is certainly conscious that the Sinai is emerging as a major security risk and in April Defence Minister Stephen Smith announced Australia would contribute $US1.5 million to MFO over three years for force protection improvements that would directly benefit ADF members

“These force protection measures will include the acquisition and maintenance of fully armoured vehicles and may also include upgrades to MFO bases,” he said.

Once MFO personnel got around in thin-skinned vehicles but now all offbase travel is conducted aboard armoured vehicles. MFO isn’t specifically saying there’s an emerging threat from improvised explosive devices. But IEDs have turned up everywhere else that western forces have faced Islamist insurgents.

In the annual report, MFO said stone throwing, roadblocks, protests and overt surveillance of MFO positions and instance of display and sometimes use of weapons had all increased dramatically since January 2011. It cited an escalation of serious incidents in their area, including cross-border terrorist attacks into Israel in June and September and in August, an attack on Egyptian border guards which killed 16.

On the plus side, both Egypt and Israel realise there’s a problem, although being Egyptian territory it’s mostly Egypt’s problem. The Camp David agreements do limit just what forces Egypt can place within 20-40kms of the border. Israel has been willing to allow Egypt to deploy significant forces, including attack helicopters but not tanks, into the region to take on the militants during what’s called Operation Eagle in 2011 and Operation Sinai in August 2012.

The latter operation was prompted by an insurgent attack which killed 16 Egyptian soldiers. Insurgents hijacked two armoured vehicles which they drove into Israel. Both were obliterated and the attackers killed without Israeli casualties.

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